Oscars 2023: Best Supporting Actress Predictions

We’ll be updating these predictions throughout awards season, so stay tuned to IndieWire for our 2023 Oscars picks. The final vote will take place between March 2 and 7, 2023. The 95th Academy Awards will air on Sunday, March 12th and will air live on ABC at 8:00 PM ET/5:00 PM PT.

Check out our earlier thoughts on what to expect at the 95th Academy Awards.

State of the species

While 2022 was a banner year for films starring women, many of the nominees beat each other out on the road to Oscar nominations, from “Women Speak” to “The Woman King.”

Best Supporting Actress nominees include Globe and Critics Choice Award winner Angela Bassett, who played the grieving Queen Ramonda in the global blockbuster “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever.” Bassett also brings her legacy to the table, as she’s been working steadily since she nearly beat Tina Turner for Best Actress in 1994’s What’s Love Got to Do With It.

But the lively ensemble that is clearly the most popular in the acting branch: the leader of the Oscar nominations is “Everything Everywhere All at Once.” Jamie Lee Curtis, who was never nominated, was cast in the fast-paced comedy as an IRS agent alongside lesser-known Stephanie Hsu, who represented both drama and comedy with Best Actress contender Michelle Yeoh as her mother and Best Supporting Actor Ke- against. Huy Quan as his distressed father. Unfortunately, Curtis and Hsu will likely split the Academy votes.

Meanwhile, the final two contenders are ‘The Banshees of Inisherin’ star Kerry Condon and ‘The Whale’ star Hong Chau, who star alongside best actor front-runners Colin Farrell and Brendan Fraser. While “Banshees” may sell itself as two-handed in its male leads, Condon’s Siobhan serves as the film’s conscience, singing director Martin McDonagh’s poetic writing even in the moments when we only hear her voice.

Chau also plays a moral figure, hammering home the most relevant, defining aspect of “The Whale”: trying to save someone who doesn’t want to be saved. After previously coming extremely close to a Best Supporting Actress nomination for her breakout role in 2017’s “Downsizing,” Chau has only grown in popularity in recent years with projects like “Watchmen” and the winter blockbuster “The Menu.” . Now his time has finally come.

The nominees are listed below in order of probability of winning.

Competitors:
Angela Bassett (“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”)
Kerry Condon (“The Banshees of Inisherin”)
Hong Chau (“The Whale”)
Jamie Lee Curtis (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)
Stephanie Hsu (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

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