Best Supporting Actor Predictions – IndieWire

Voting for nominations January 11-16, 2024. takes place between, the official Oscar nominations will be announced on January 23, 2024. The final vote is February 22-27, 2024. ABC 8pm ET/ 5pm PT. We’ll be updating predictions throughout awards season, so keep checking IndieWire for the 2024 Oscars picks.

State of the species

While there are no Best Supporting Actor nominees in the first half of the year who look set to dominate this upcoming awards season, such as this year’s winner Ke Huy Quan (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”), there have been plenty of performances by impressive ensembles. are considered outstanding among them.

The biggest example right now is the praise Ryan Gosling is getting for his comedic turn as Ken in Warner Bros.’ highly anticipated Barbie release, but turn back the clock a bit and actors like Noah Galvin (“Theatrical Camp”), Chris Messina (“Air”) and Glenn Howerton (“Blackberry”) all received praise from moviegoers at Sundance and SXSW premieres.

But if someone were to place a bet on the three actors who are already waiting for a nomination, even though dozens of performances have not been seen by the public, it would be Robert De Niro for “Killers of the Flower Moon”, John Magaro for “Previous Lives” and Charles Melton in “May December.” While the former is a two-time Oscar winner who excels uniquely in an antagonistic role, the latter pair represent two distinct breakouts that the Academy likes to honor.

Magaro was recently an awards contender for her role in the 2020 Kelly Reichardt film “First Cow,” so those who were rooting for her back then are thrilled to see her get even more exposure in “Past Lives.” , which the majority. Critics consider it the best film of the year so far. Meanwhile, ‘Riverdale’ star Melton was similarly kept out of the awards fray, but was the talk of Cannes after a buzzy ‘May December’ premiere, where people saw another side of his acting chops stand out. Julianne Moore and Natalie Portman – both Best Actress winners.

There are also films like “Challengers,” “The Bikeriders,” “Saltburn” and “The Iron Claw” that look like viable Best Supporting Actor contenders, in part because it’s not entirely clear yet. how many performances in them can be considered introductions.

The more familiar quantities are movies like “The Poor,” whose trailer strongly hints at Willem Dafoe, Mark Ruffalo and Ramy Youssef circling Emma Stone’s lead. “The Color Purple” has a lot going for it — the original film adaptation received 11 Oscar nominations and the Broadway musical adaptation was a major Tony winner — but Colman Domingo is especially worth watching here for a celebrated turn as Mister. it could reinforce the campaign of the main character “Rustin” and vice versa. Finally, Samuel L. Jackson was nominated for a Tony for playing the same role he played in “The Piano Lesson.” The Academy has awarded Denzel Washington’s two August Wilson film adaptations with Oscars, and Jackson has been nominated in this category before, so the 2024 Oscars could be the year the prolific actor finally wins a competition award.

The contestants are listed below in alphabetical order. No actor is considered a contender until I see the film.

Areas of interest:
Robert De Niro (“Killers of the Flower Moon”)
Noah Galvin (Theatre Camp)
John Magaro (“Past Lives”)
Chris Messina (“Air”)
Jesse Plemons (“Killers of the Flower Moon”)

Competitors:
Ben Affleck (“Air”)
Matt Bomer (“Maestro”)
Willem Dafoe (“Poor People”)
Matt Damon (“Oppenheimer”)
Colman Domingo (The Color Purple)
Robert Downey Jr. (“Oppenheimer”)
Ryan Gosling (“Barbie”)
Samuel L. Jackson (“The Piano Lesson”)
Charles Melton (“May December”)
Mark Ruffalo (“Poor People”)

Long shots:
Jason Bateman (“Air”)
Austin Butler (“Dune: Part Two”)
Raul Castillo (“Cassandro”)
Jacob Elordi (“Priscilla”)
Corey Hawkins (The Color Purple)
Glenn Howerton (“BlackBerry”)
Nathan Lane (“Beau is Afraid”)
Jude Law (“Firebrand”)
Will Pullen (“A Little Prayer”)
Ramy Youssef (“Poor People”)