2023 Emmy Award for Best Actor in a Drama Prediction

The 2023 Emmys will be the last chance for Best Actor in a Drama Series for Brian Cox or Bob Odenkirk to win for “Succession” or “Better Call Saul.”

Consider this

We’ll be updating this article with all of our predictions throughout the season, so be sure to check IndieWire for the latest news on the 2023 Emmys. The nomination round of voting runs from June 15 to June 26, with the official Emmy nominations announced on Wednesday, July 12. The Creative Arts Emmy Awards will be presented over two consecutive nights on Saturday, September 9 and Sunday, September 10. an edited presentation of the ceremonies that will air on FXX at a later date. Finally, the 75th Annual Primetime Emmy Awards will take place on Monday, September 18 and will air live on FOX at 8:00 PM ET/5:00 PM PT.

State of the species

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series is the one drama category least likely to be completely dominated by HBO. Sure, “The Succession” star Jeremy Strong is really the only previous winner in the running for the award for playing the same character, so he’s most likely nominated for the show’s fourth and final season, but it’s not certain that Matthew Rhys will get it. another nomination for “Perry Mason” in a more competitive year. Although “Dragon’s House” is a widely watched show, Paddy Considine may not appeal to voters in the same way as Oscar-winning actors such as Jeff Bridges (“The Old Man”) or Gary Oldman (“Slow Horses”). . grow from their star power.

Expect plenty of familiar choices, especially since it’s the final round for “Succession” star Brian Cox and “Better Call Saul” star Bob Odenkirk. Dominic West reprises the same role in “The Crown,” which recently earned Josh O’Connor an Emmy, but there’s also room for new talent to break through. Harrison Ford is having a banner year in both the drama and comedy categories. His lead role in “1923” could lead to his first major Emmy nomination for a TV show set in the “Yellowstone” universe and break new ground on the Paramount+ network. Nicco Annan of Starz’s hit “P-Valley” and Antony Starr of Amazon Prime Video’s “The Boys” are also two actors whose critically acclaimed performances have the potential to earn their network a first-ever nod in this category.

Current contestants (in alphabetical order):
Jacob Anderson: Interview with a Vampire (AMC)
Nicco Annan, “P-Valley” (Starz)
Jeff Bridges, “The Old Man” (FX)
Paddy Considine, “The Dragon’s House” (HBO)
Brian Cox, “Succession” (HBO)
Bryan Cranston, “Your Honor” (Showtime)
Harrison Ford, “1923” (Paramount+)
Diego Luna, “Andor” (Disney+)
Bob Odenkirk, “Better Call Saul” (AMC)
Gary Oldman, “Slow Horses” Apple TV+
Pedro Pascal, “The Last of Us” (HBO)
Matthew Rhys, “Perry Mason” (HBO)
Antony Starr, “The Boys” (Amazon Prime Video)
Jeremy Strong, “Succession” (HBO)
Dominic West, “The Crown” (Netflix)

More predictions for the drama categories:
Excellent drama series
Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series

Click here for IndieWire’s full predictions for the 75th Emmy Awards.

Last year’s winner: Lee Jung-jae, “Squid Game”
Still eligible: No.
Hot Streaks: Last year continued a streak of more than a decade where no one won this award for back-to-back seasons of their series. The last time Breaking Bad star Bryan Cranston did it was in 2008-2010. There is a chance that Dominic West could win and start a series in the same role as Josh O’Connor, who won an Emmy in 2021 for playing a younger Prince Charles in “The Crown.” Otherwise, the only person in contention for a repeat win is “Total” star Jeremy Strong, who won in 2020 but didn’t win last year.
Notable Non-Eligible Series: Adam Scott, “Severance” (Season 2 ineligible); Jason Bateman, “Ozark” (end); Sterling K. Brown: “This Is Us” (End)

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